Despite government officials trying to explain it away, inflation is running at its highest levels in years or (in the case of producer prices) decades. For now, however, the bond market shows little...
Key Takeaway: Risks remain elevated from a sentiment perspective. The bulls continue to hold court as bears are relatively absent despite their rise in recent weeks. Though there are signs...
According to Charles Darwin, you cannot make observations without some kind of underlying theory. And if you have any theories about financial markets, you understand thinking about what could...
Key Takeaway: Investors continue to favor stocks as money relentlessly pours into equity ETFs. It’s no wonder, given that the main stock indexes are printing new record highs. Yet, a...
Key Takeaway: Recent laggards bounce into lead. Economic reports add noise to an otherwise quiet week. New highs for Value Line Geometric Index and Commodities would...
While what’s happening beneath the surface in US markets is a bit frustrating, we are seeing evidence of improving breadth on a global basis. Just shy of 75% of ACWI markets are trading above their 50-...
Key Takeaway: It appears the bulls are preparing to pack it up and call it a day. Dark clouds are starting to roll in, as the slow deterioration beneath the surface has taken its toll....
As we've still yet to see a decisive shift to a risk-on environment, caution remains the general guiding principle for this market. At the same time, there are opportunities in crypto that we'd like...
Key Takeaway: Indexes find ways to shrug off disappointment. Beneath the surface, market bending, not yet breaking. Surge in bond yields would sap financial liquidity...
On the heels of last week’s surprising drop in the University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment index, we are now seeing a similar decline in the Future Activity Index from the Philadelphia Fed. Just two...
Key takeaway: There are signs of bears beginning to stir. Pessimism on the II and AAII surveys has reached its highest level since Q1 and put/call ratios show investors turning to the...