This All Star Charts +Plus Monthly Playbook breaks down the investment universe into a series of largely binary decisions and tactical calls. Paired with our...
Key takeaway: It’s bears on strike and bulls on parade. While it persists, it can fuel a rally. Whether it can persist is another question. We have already seen (particularly in less...
Key Takeaway: Index-level strength lacks support beneath the surface. Economic surprise index dips below zero. The earnings revision trend is higher though the pace of...
I might be old school, but I like to look within the Financials sector for leadership trends that provide some clues for the path of the market overall. Specifically, I keep an eye on what Banks and...
Key takeaway: Record highs in equity indexes buoy investor sentiment that has remained optimistic without a significant challenge over the past year. Bulls ticked higher across our...
Key Takeaway: Indexes make new highs, but action beneath the surface is not encouraging. Equity fund inflows surge in the first half. Bond yields moving lower are...
The S&P 500 finished June at its highest level ever. For the first time since August 2020, however, this was a new monthly high that was not confirmed by the equal-weight version of the index....
A strange thought occurred to me as I was cracking eggs into a well-seasoned pan over the weekend: cast iron pans and technical analysis have a lot of similarities.
Key takeaway: Even with some indicators backing away from extreme optimism, sentiment remains on the risk side of the scale. Optimism can be slow to unwind as hopeful investors...
Key Takeaway: Indexes made new highs last week, but rally participation has been lackluster. Faltering industry groups and global market trends can make index-level...
The weight of the evidence is neutral and we’ve been discussing how it has been and remains a messy environment for stocks. We can see this in our Risk On/Risk Off Ratio which has been consolidating...
Key takeaway: Last week’s volatility unwound some near-term complacency, but there is still plenty of evidence of optimism in the system. Active managers increased their equity exposure...
As the weight of the evidence has shifted from bullish to neutral in the first half of 2021, active investors can find more solace in moving to the sidelines and holding on to a little more cash. This...