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From the desk of Willie Delwiche.

Every streak comes to an end. After a record 243 consecutive days of positive readings, the US economic surprise index slipped below the zero line this week. For a mean-reverting index that has...

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Observations

From the desk of Willie Delwiche.

A box of family photos showed up at my house this weekend. 

Some are relatively recent, others stretch back nearly a century. Together, they tell a story of generation after generation...

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From the desk of Willie Delwiche.

Key takeaway: Amid the economic optimism that is seen in surveys and magazine covers, the stock market is experiencing an unwinding in speculative excesses that has just begun...

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sentiment
Sentiment Report

From the desk of Willie Delwiche.

Key Takeaway: Investors finding themselves with too much Technology exposure. Speculative unwind occurring as neglected areas of the market make new highs. Inflation concerns are...

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Notes
Market Notes

From the desk of Willie Delwiche.

The one chart is actually two charts this week. On the left is the S&P 500 and the percentage of stocks in that index that are above their 200-day average (90%). On the right is the NASDAQ...

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Observations

From the desk of Willie Delwiche.

Key takeaway: A peak within the NASDAQ (or the Technology sector) shows that pockets of speculative excesses are being unwound. There has been enough strength in the market...

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sentiment
Sentiment Report

From the desk of Willie Delwiche.

Key Takeaway: Stocks looking at a year two market. Stocks looking at a year of two markets. Economic surprises remain a tailwind for now but data struggling to keep up with...

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Notes
Market Notes

From the desk of Willie Delwiche.

The headlines this week focused on the, for lack of  better word, carnage in some of the most speculative areas of the stock market. While late week rally attempts have taken some of the sting out...

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Observations

From the desk of Willie Delwiche.

Key takeaway: Evidence of excessive optimism abounds. Recent articles in the Wall Street Journal provide anecdotes for the data: Conservative German savers are increasing...

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sentiment
Sentiment Report

From the desk of Willie Delwiche.

Key Takeaway: New monthly highs reflect broad participation and a healthy rally. Stocks struggle to celebrate blowout quarters if future growth prospects are not bright. Elevated...

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Notes
Market Notes

From the desk of Willie Delwiche.

The new high list on any given day has been unremarkable of late. So far in 2021, the most S&P 500 stocks making new highs on any given day has been 135 (27% of the index). The average for...

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Observations