I came down with a pretty bad cold this weekend. Most of my Sunday was spent quarantined in my office so I wouldn't get my kids sick (4yr old and twin 2yr olds).
Of course, rather than laying in bed resting, I was in my office looking through charts.
I couldn't help myself.
It's my way of relaxing. And as it turns out, I do feel a lot better today than I did when I woke up yesterday.
But one thing I was able to do was go one by one counting stocks, sectors and indexes all over the world to see if these ugly rumors about weakening market breadth were true.
As it turns out, they're just lies.
Market breadth continues to expand as more and more countries around the world are hitting new highs, not fewer.
Welcome back to Under the Hood, where we'll cover all the action for the two weeks ended January 3, 2025. This report is published bi-weekly, in rotation with The Minor Leaguers.
What we do here is analyze the most popular stocks during the week and find opportunities to either join in and ride these momentum names higher, or fade the crowd and bet against them.
We use a variety of sources to generate the list of most popular names.
There are so many new data sources available that all we need to do is organize and curate them in a way that shows us exactly what we want: a list of stocks that are seeing an unusual increase in investor interest.
Click here for a behind-the-scenes look at our process.
Whether we’re measuring increasing interest based on large institutional purchases, unusual options activity, or simply our proprietary lists of trending tickers, there’s...
Bonds are telling the story of this market, and if you’re not listening you’re already behind!
Growth, inflation, liquidity – it’s all written in the bond market’s moves, making bonds the most critical tool for any trader.
Period.
The 2 year US Treasury yield exploded higher the moment the Fed started cutting rates – a massive tell that expectations shifted on a dime, as the chart clearly shows.
Now that same yield has flipped direction and is plunging lower. You know what that means: liquidity could start flooding the system once again.
When liquidity increases, money doesn’t sit still – it moves fast.
We’re watching capital rip through the market, rotating in to international stocks like it’s got something to prove.
The Fed might think they’re steering the ship with their rate tweaks, but the bond market says otherwise.
It’s the bond market that leads the way – always has, always will.
The bull market rages on, despite any ugly rumors you might here that it's over.
They love pretending that the bull market is done, because scaring you is good for business.
Telling you the world has never been a better place is just not good for the noisemaking community.
It's good for investors though! That's us...
Anyway, historic back-to-back years for the stock market now continues to expand broadly all over the world.
Here is the "Earth Index" closing the month once again at a new all-time high.
Notice how the United States barely represents half of this Index.
In some of the other Global Indexes, the U.S. carries a much higher weighting, over 80% in some cases.
50% of the Index is about right in my opinion.
You've got a lot of UK and Europe in this one, so it should be no surprise that the London FTSE 100 and the broader London FTSE 350 both closed the month at new all-time highs again yesterday.
Here is the broadest measure of European Equities, which include all the small-caps, mid-caps and large-caps, also hitting new all-time highs:
Our International Hall of Famers list is composed of the 100 largest US-listed international stocks, or ADRs.
We've also sprinkled in some of the largest ADRs from countries that did not make the market cap cut.
These stocks range from some well-known mega-cap multinationals such as Toyota Motor and Royal Dutch Shell to some large-cap global disruptors such as Sea Ltd and Shopify.
It's got all the big names and more–but only those that are based outside the US. You can find all the largest US stocks on our original Hall of Famers list.
The beauty of these scans is really in their simplicity.
We take the largest names each week and then apply technical filters in a way that the strongest stocks with the most momentum rise to the top.
Based on the market environment, we can also flip the scan on its head and filter for weakness.
Let's dive in and take a look at some of the most important stocks from around the world.
Welcome to TheJunior International Hall of Famers.
With the goal of finding more bullish setups, we have decided to expand one of our favorite scans and broaden our regular coverage of the largest US-listed international stocks, or ADRs.
This scan is composed of the next 100 largest stocks by market cap, those that come after the top 100 and are thus covered by the International Hall of Famers universe.
Many of these names will someday graduate and join our original International Hall Of Famers list. The idea here is to catch these big trends as early on as possible.
Let’s dive right in and check out what these future big boys are up to.
This is our Junior International Hall of Famers list:
Click table to enlarge view
And here’s how we arrived at it…
We removed laggards which are down 5% or more relative to the ACWI Ex. U.S. Index $ACWX over the trailing...