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Options Paid to Play

[Options P2P] Daily Digest 2/27/25

February 27, 2025

In today’s Daily Digest, we’ll review the following:

  1. No new positions today.
  2. Rolling XRT to April Options.
  3. No exits since the last report.
  4. Current status of open campaigns.
  5. Volatility Snapshot.

Let’s dig in!

2 to 100 Club,
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2 to 100 Club (02-26-2025)

February 26, 2025

From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

Welcome to The 2 to 100 Club.

In this scan, we look to identify the strongest growth stocks as they climb the market-cap ladder from small- to mid- to large- and, ultimately, to mega cap status (over $200B).

Once they graduate from small-cap to mid-cap status (over $2B), they come on our radar. Likewise, when they surpass the roughly $30B mark, they roll off our list.

But the scan doesn't just end there.

We only want to look at the strongest growth industries in the market, as that is typically where these potential 50-baggers come from.

Some of the best performers in recent decades – stocks like Priceline, Amazon, Netflix, Salesforce, and myriad others – would have been on this list at some point during their journey to becoming the market behemoths they are today.

When you look at the stocks in our table, you'll notice we're only focused on Technology and Growth industry groups such as Software, Semiconductors, Online...

Options Paid to Play

[Options P2P] Daily Digest 2/26/25

February 26, 2025

In today’s Daily Digest, we’ll review the following:

  1. New position in XLP.
  2. No adjustments are needed today.
  3. Exited XLB at Profit Target.
  4. Current status of open campaigns.
  5. Volatility Snapshot.

Let’s dig in!

Options Paid to Play

[Options P2P] Daily Digest 2/25/25

February 25, 2025

In today’s Daily Digest, we’ll review the following:

  1. No new positions today.
  2. Adjustment to IGV position.
  3. No exits since the last report.
  4. Current status of open campaigns.
  5. Volatility Snapshot.

Let’s dig in!

The Strazza Letter

I'm Bearish Crypto

February 24, 2025

Cryptocurrencies and crypto stocks are reacting negatively to some of the most positive news they’ve had in years.

It all just speaks to the recent mood shift for Bitcoin and friends. Since the election rally, it hasn’t gone well.

And just think of the news cycle. The first crypto president. A strategic BTC reserve. A non-predatory SEC. Crypto fund approvals. 

The headlines couldn’t be more bullish.

Yet, the average altcoin has suffered a 60% drawdown, and there are literally no cryptos holding up outside of Bitcoin.

I think the next leg for Bitcoin will be lower, as it gets in line with the rest of its asset class. 

In this post, I’ll explain why and what I’m doing about it.

When I think of Bitcoin, I also think of Solana, Ethereum, Coinbase, and Microstrategy… the whole group should work together. It always has. When...

All Star Charts Gold Rush,
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[Gold Rush] Palladium: When Moon? ⏳🚀

February 24, 2025

We've been discussing the odds favoring shiny rocks outperforming stocks for the foreseeable future. 

It's what happens in every precious metals bull market.

Another classic in these cycles is for the mining stocks to outperform gold. We think this is about to happen. 

In addition, we expect the entire precious metals complex to move explosively. We haven't seen this yet, but we're anticipating it.

The setup in palladium futures looks as juicy as anything in the market.

Check out this chart of palladium 👇
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The Minor Leaguers (02-24-2025)

February 24, 2025

From the Desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

Welcome to The Minor Leaguers.

We've had some great trades come out of this small-cap-focused column since we launched it back in 2020 and started rotating it with our flagship bottom-up scan, Under the Hood.

For the first year or so, we focused only on Russell 2000 stocks with a market cap between $1 and $2B.

That was fun, but we wanted to branch out a bit and allow some new stocks to find their way onto our list.

We expanded our universe to include some mid-caps.

Nowadays, to make the cut for our Minor Leaguers list, a company must have a market cap between $1 and $4B.

And it doesn't have to be a Russell component — it can be any US-listed equity. With participation expanding around the globe, we want all those ADRs in our universe.

The same price and liquidity filters are applied. Then, as always, we sort by proximity to new...

Options Paid to Play

[Options P2P] Daily Digest 2/24/25

February 24, 2025

In today’s Daily Digest, we’ll review the following:

  1. No new positions today.
  2. Rolled XME position to April options.
  3. Closed SMH at profit target.
  4. Current status of open campaigns.
  5. Volatility Snapshot.

Let’s dig in!

All Star Charts Premium

When the Music Stops: The Musical Chairs of Dollar & Bond Yields

February 23, 2025

Look, I get it—this topic comes up again and again, and it can be a bit of a head scratcher.

I keep saying it: inflation is sticky, and the dollar is rolling over.

Yet people ask, "How does that work with a 75% rolling correlation between the dollar and yields recently?"

And that’s a valid question.

Check out this chart—it’s a visual reminder that correlations aren’t set in stone. There are times when the numbers move in harmony and other moments when the link just falls apart.
 

 

Markets evolve, and so do these relationships.

Here’s the honest truth: correlations are fickle by nature. They can look tight one minute and then unravel the next.

Relying on a strong historical link is like betting on a coin toss coming up heads every time—it’s risky and can easily lead you astray.

...