We adjusted our international equity exposure to stay in harmony with global leadership and are putting some money to work domestically following the late-July breadth thrust.
This All Star Charts +Plus Monthly Playbook breaks down the investment universe into a series of largely binary decisions and tactical calls. Paired with our Weight of the Evidence Dashboard and our Playbook Chartbook, this piece is designed to help active asset allocators follow trends, pursue opportunities, and manage risk.
In Focus for August: July brought some relief for investors in diversified portfolios but 2022 has still been a forgettable year in many regards. From an equity market perspective, it’s been a year heavy on volatility and light on strength (more like 2008 than 2017). Bonds haven’t fared much better. Yields are off their highs, but the trend continues to experience one of its most persistent increases in the past 4 decades. It is the persistence of these trends that might be most challenging for investors in the current environment. Bouts of market volatility in recent years, even when they have been severe (like during the COVID lockdowns), have...
After some work and many days of cleaning data, we're happy to introduce some great new metrics we're working up to supplement our cryptocurrency research.
Before we dive in, we want to set a brief framework.
It’s important we lay down a foundation before analyzing this data; there’s little point dedicating the man hours to the research if we don’t know why and how to apply it.
Today’s most significant insider transaction report is another Form 4 filing by Warren Buffett’s Berkshire Hathaway $BRK.A.
Buffet continues to increase his position in Occidental Petroleum $OXY, as he just reported an additional purchase, this one worth roughly $390 million.
Today we have a stock from the Service sector making its way to the Trade of the Week post. It is definitely a crowd favourite, and I'm sure you'd like to note down the levels for this one! Let's check it out!
We retired our "Five Bull Market Barometers" in 2020 to make room for a new weekly post that's focused on the three most important charts for the week ahead.
This is that post, so let's jump into this week's edition.
Welcome to Under the Hood, where we'll cover all the action for the week ended August 5, 2022. This report is published bi-weekly and rotated with our Minor Leaguers scan.
What we do here is analyze the most popular stocks during the week and find opportunities to either join in and ride these momentum names higher, or fade the crowd and bet against them.
We use a variety of sources to generate the list of most popular names.
There are so many new data sources available that all we need to do is organize and curate them in a way that shows us exactly what we want: a list of stocks that are seeing an unusual increase in investor interest.
This is one of our favorite bottom-up scans: Follow the Flow. In this note, we simply create a universe of stocks that experienced the most unusual options activity — either bullish or bearish, but not both.
We utilize options experts, both internally and through our partnership with The TradeXchange. Then, we dig through the level 2 details and do all the work upfront for our clients.
Our goal is to isolate only those options market splashes that represent levered and high-conviction, directional bets.
We also weed out hedging activity and ensure there are no offsetting trades that either neutralize or cap the risk on these unusual options trades.
What remains is a list of stocks that large financial institutions are putting big money behind.
And they’re doing so for one reason only: because they think the stock is about to move in their direction and make them a pretty penny.
Then we flip through our list of stocks flashing unusual...
Noisy price swings can obscure underlying downtrends.
Bulls holding serve on rally but hardly pressing an advantage.
The price moves in this environment have been impressive in both directions. One-quarter of the stocks in the NASDAQ are more than 50% above their 52-week lows, but more than 40% are still 50% or more below their 52-week highs.
Last week, for the first time since early April, more stocks on the NASDAQ made new highs than new lows. That ended the consecutive streak of days with new lows > new highs at 83. This was more than two weeks longer than the previous record stretch (which ended in December 2008 - prior to financial crisis lows). Like many of the stocks that make up the index, the NASDAQ Composite is well off its lows. But it is still more than 12% below where it was the last time new highs exceeded new lows.