In options trading, risk management starts with defined risk and ends with position sizing. "Stop Losses" -- if used at all -- center around price action of the underlying and give zero weight to the value of the option(s) itself.
The Retail Sector ETF $XRT just made new all-time daily closing highs. I was going to write an extensive piece on how we got here and the lessons we can take away about knowing what we own and...
Not all sectors of the market are glamorous or sexy. And Agribusiness certainly isn't one of the fashionable areas of the stock market. But we're about to wade into our second name here because the opportunities are too good. At the end of the day, we...
Friday we wrote about the US Dollar breaking out to 1-year highs and why it's one of the most important charts we're watching from an intermarket perspective. With...
This weekend all of the Chartbooks on the site were updated, so this is a quick post to highlight some of the significant developments since they were last updated. In...
It's not about being right, it's about making money. There's a difference and I think that gets forgotten too often. We want to position ourselves where we have the highest probabilities for success as well as where the risk vs reward is skewed in our...
I know the US Dollar isn't as sexy as Tesla's Elon Musk tweeting market moving information every few hours or Apple hitting a trillion dollar market-cap, but I have been waiting all summer for...
Eight months of sideways consolidation and an upcoming earnings event next week are setting the table for the potential of significant upside in shares of Nvidia $NVDA.
The semiconductor space is a leading indicator for the technology sector...
If you've been reading our blog for a while, you're probably familiar with our process and how we identify reward/risk scenarios that are ridiculously skewed in our favor. With that said, the way we accomplish that doesn't always look exactly the same...
I'm so excited to announce that I've started a new podcast with my friend Phil Pearlman! We're calling it "The Money Game" and we'll have a new episode out each week. For you guys who are unfamiliar with Phil, he earned a doctorate in clinical...
There are many different ways to gauge the strength of the stock market. One of the most valuable is in the Russell3000, which represents approximately 98% of all investable assets in the U.S. equities market. This week, the value of that index was...
On Thursday August 23rd I will be putting on a presentation at the Toronto CFA Society at 4:15PM. This is a free event where I will be discussing the current market environment, walking through strategy and talking about how we find individual...
Life isn't just about Tesla gossip and Apple at a trillion. There is plenty of "less sexy" market behavior to be paying attention to right now that should have serious implications for the overall market. While boring to some, we have a huge...
The Agribusiness sector might not often be thought of as sexy, but it is threatening to break out above 2008 highs (as measured by the Agribusiness ETF $MOO) and individual names are starting to look pretty compelling. As such, we're on the hunt for...
This entire year we've been talking about under-performance in the mid-cap and small-cap segments of the market. To take advantage of that we've wanted to be shorting, or at least avoiding longs in, the weakest names in sectors like Public Sector...
There's been a lot of talk about equity market breadth both in the US and globally, but one thing I've not seen mentioned throughout the debate is Dow Theory. While there are...
I love this game. It's us against the world to try and make a buck in this market. Every day brings new opportunities and story lines. The hard part is distinguishing between what matters and what is just noise. We're hard wired to need to gossip and...
Sector rotation in this market continues and the Agribusiness and Chemical Industries within the Materials Sector look to be heating up. While their performance on a relative basis is...
