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Base metals are entering a brand-new primary uptrend.

This entire year, we’ve been pounding the table on one idea: investors are wildly underestimating the structural shift unfolding inside base and industrial metals.

With...

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“Ending is better than mending.” — Aldous Huxley, Brave New World

Huxley wasn’t talking about the Federal Reserve, but he may as well have been.We’ve entered a market regime where policymakers would rather pump, patch,...

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Palladium commercial hedgers just flipped net-short.

Back in July, we laid out the case that Palladium was quietly finishing one...

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The next big international breakout is lining up. 

In line with the trend we’ve observed all year, the global market isn’t driven by semiconductors or software… instead, it’s all about commodities. 

...

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For over a year, I’ve been waiting for the yield curve to steepen. Not drift higher. Not wobble. But reverse — decisively — and start climbing again.

Now it’s finally happening.

And when the yield curve turns up in sync...

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Natural Gas is supposed to be weak right now… So why is it ripping to the highest level since 2022?

Natural Gas has a way of showing up exactly when investors have written it off. 

That’s been true for decades, and it might be happening again right now. 

After spending years in the penalty box, the commodity is trading at the...

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Welcome to Boomtown

Most natural resource stocks, even the bellwethers of Metals or Energy, for example, can’t scale to $3 Trillion in market cap. They’re simply not built like the juggernauts of tech or communications.

...
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After weeks of shakeouts, the bulls are back in complete control of the tape.

The past few weeks in precious metals have felt like a series of tests for the "weak hands."

It started with Gold futures posting their...

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More than a decade of consolidation is over.

When you step back and look at the commodity space today, one thing becomes obvious: the rotation is broadening. 

Gold has already done the heavy lifting, and the miners have already completed their bases. Precious metals have decisively...

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There’s a line in Taoist philosophy that I always come back to:the world moves in cycles, rhythms, and patterns.

Most people only see what’s in front of them. They stare at every wiggle, every red candle, every headline.But the traders who...

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Leadership ratios rolled over. Now we find out if this bull market still has legs.

Every bull market has its heartbeat. 

Sometimes it’s loud and obvious, like Gold ripping...

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When the tape gets noisy, we like to simplify our process and let the most important charts do the talking.

Many of ...

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Here comes the squeeze

There comes a moment in every long, grinding bear market when the selling exhausts itself and nobody cares anymore. The last marginal seller has finally thrown in the towel.

And when an entire corner of the commodity market gets left for dead,...

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Welcome to Boomtown

Most natural resource stocks, even the bellwethers of Metals or Energy, for example, can’t scale to $3 Trillion in market cap. They’re simply not built like the juggernauts of tech or communications.

...
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Silver is holding its breakout. Now we're waiting on the Swiss franc to confirm the move.

Last week, we highlighted the record short interest in the iShares Silver ETF $SLV. Every time...

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The Summer Soldier and the Inflation Setup

“These are the times that try men’s souls. The summer soldier and the sunshine patriot will, in this crisis, shrink from the service of their country…”— Thomas Paine, 1776

It’s one of my favorite lines in all of literature — and one of...

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Latin America has been a no-show for well over a decade. 

The last time these countries participated in any meaningful manner was back during the 2003–2008 cycle. 

Since then, this region’s equity...

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Tanker rates are exploding as participation in energy continues to expand.

Last week, we talked about the rotation into energy, one of the most unloved sectors of...

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The lull is over. Gold and Silver just made their move.

Over the past few weeks, the precious metals market has felt like a long, winding march through shifting terrain.

First came the heat. Back in mid-October, the Gold market was blazing so brightly it felt like the desert at noon. Volatility...

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Energy stocks spent years in exile. Now they're breaking out.

There are corners of the market so unloved that they start to develop their own weather. Energy has been living under one of those storm clouds.

For most of this bull market, the sector has been treated like the leftovers at a feast cooked by...

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The US Dollar Index $DXY is approaching a make-or-break level.

We’ve been watching ...

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Welcome to Boomtown

Most natural resource stocks, even the bellwethers of Metals or Energy, for example, can’t scale to $3 Trillion in market cap. They’re not those types of companies - they’re just not built like the...

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